BlockBeats 消息,12 月 22 日,加密 KOL @ingalvarezsol 结合 Polymarket(20 to 30 billion U.S. dollars)、场外积分价格(each point 90 U.S. dollars)、token LIT pre-market price (3.4 U.S. dollars) and other factors to make a valuation prediction for Lighter:
15 billion U.S. dollars is the minimum valuation (bear market range, influenced by venture capital round financing). 30 billion U.S. dollars to 42 billion U.S. dollars is the bear market baseline (forecasted market/pre-market/point price back-calculated market cap). Optimistic expectations are above 75 billion U.S. dollars to 125 billion U.S. dollars (final valuation).
@ingalvarezsol emphasized that Hyperliquid and Lighter are fundamentally different types of products: Hyperliquid is building a Web3 native liquidity layer, primarily profitable through retail transaction fees (plus ecosystem dynamics). Lighter is building decentralized trading infrastructure, aiming to gradually onboard FinTech companies/brokers/professional market makers over time while maintaining extremely low retail execution costs (including 0% fees on certain spot markets). An important catalyst that can drive Lighter's valuation upwards in the future is RWA asset trading.